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TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureUnited States

Cloudflare, Inc. (NET) Valuation Assumptions

Review Cloudflare, Inc. (NET) valuation assumptions across intrinsic value, DCF, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and financial trends.

NYQ · US · USD

Latest price196.13 USD
30D+13.9%
Price vs model medianLimited model referenceModel median is the median base output from applicable absolute models, excluding Reverse DCF.

Quick answer

What growth is the market currently pricing into NET?

At 196.13 USD, TickerVal's reverse DCF setup implies roughly 40.0% annual FCF growth for 10 years for NET, using the current normalized FCF base, a 9.5% discount rate, and 3.0% terminal growth. The rest of the page shows valuation assumptions, model differences, and source-data context for research reference.

What price implies

What does the current price imply?

At 196.13 USD, the model implies roughly 40% annual FCF growth for 10 years, with required long-term operating margin near Assumption unavailable and terminal growth around 3%. This module is a research reference.

Implied FCF CAGR40%

10-year Reverse DCF scenario

Required long-term operating marginAssumption unavailable

Five-year median × 0.95

Implied terminal growth3%

From current model assumptions

Discount rate assumption9.5%

Estimated from current sector rules

Adjust assumptions+

Adjust assumptions

Move assumptions to see how the current price implied conditions change.

Forecast horizon10Y

Historical implied expectations

How does today's implied growth compare with history?

Calculated from selected historical prices and current normalized FCF assumptions, not a full point-in-time backtest.

Current implied FCF CAGR40%
5Y monthly median35.49%
Current vs 5Y median+4.51 pts

Showing 8 of 13 report price anchors

Report price anchorPrice dateAnchor priceImplied FCF CAGR
Q1-20262026/03/31206.34 USD40%
FY20252025/12/31197.15 USD40%
Q1-20262025/12/31197.15 USD40%
Q3-20252025/09/30214.59 USD40%
Q2-20252025/06/30195.83 USD40%
Q1-20262025/03/31112.69 USD37.76%
FY20242024/12/31107.68 USD37.09%
Q3-20252024/12/31107.68 USD37.09%
202640%

Avg 40% · Samples 5

202540%

Avg 39.71% · Samples 12

202433.69%

Avg 33.96% · Samples 12

202329.65%

Avg 29.53% · Samples 12

Historical valuation multiples

How have EV/EBITDA and P/FCF changed over the last 5 years?

Annual fiscal-period anchored: month-end prices are paired with the most recent annual fiscal period ending on or before each date, covering the last 5 years (29 monthly samples). Multiples are research references; financial-sector or otherwise non-comparable companies require sector-specific context.

P/FCF

Market cap divided by reported free cash flow.

238x
Near median · P53
Current5Y medianTypical range IQR
5Y median235x
Current238x · P53
5Y low 161xCurrent vs median+1.22%5Y high 443x
IQR 197–254x · 29 monthly samples

Month-end historical multiples

A date-friendly view for historical EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and P/E queries.

Showing 8 of 29 month-end samples
Month-endPriceP/EP/FCFEV/EBITDAFiscal period used
2026-05-08196.13 USD-238x-2025-12-31
2026-04-30204.97 USD-248x-2025-12-31
2026-03-31206.34 USD-250x-2025-12-31
2026-02-27172.19 USD-209x-2025-12-31
2026-01-30177.35 USD-215x-2025-12-31
2025-12-31197.15 USD-239x-2025-12-31
2025-11-28200.21 USD-350x-2024-12-31
2025-10-31253.30 USD-443x-2024-12-31

Valuation overview

How do the valuation assumptions fit together?

Cloudflare, Inc. (NET) valuation on TickerVal is designed to help readers understand the operating expectations embedded in the current market price. At 196.13 USD, the page brings intrinsic value analysis, DCF outputs, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and valuation assumptions into one research view within the Technology sector and the Software - Infrastructure industry. Instead of treating one model as a final answer, TickerVal compares cash-flow, earnings-power, balance-sheet, and relative-multiple lenses so the differences between models are visible. The reverse DCF view currently shows implied growth of 40.0%, while the model median reference sits at a limited composite reference versus the current price. The DCF and reverse DCF sections focus on free cash flow, discount rate, terminal growth, and the long-term growth path implied by the current price. EV/EBITDA and P/FCF provide additional context for capital structure and cash-flow multiples. The financial trends section connects those valuation assumptions back to reported revenue of 2B USD, free cash flow of 287M USD, margins, and balance-sheet facts from public filings. Readers can use the layout to compare assumptions across models before reviewing the underlying source data. This page is intended for transparent research reference, model review, and assumption checking.

Valuation model range vs. current price

Each row shows a model output range, with a vertical line for the current price.

Model output range
DCFCalculated
13.75 USD-31.81 USD
Current price reference line

Why do valuation models give different answers?

Different models rely on different financial facts. The status blocks show which lenses fit this page data.

ModelFitContext
DCFSuitableUseful when recurring free cash flow history exists; sensitive to growth and discount assumptions.
Owner EarningsNot meaningfulUseful when net income, D&A, and capex support owner-earnings scenarios.
Reverse DCFSuitableShows the FCF growth implied by current price under stated assumptions.
Earnings Power ValueNot meaningfulUseful for mature operating profit, with limited emphasis on growth.
Graham NumberNot meaningfulWorks best when EPS and book value are both positive.
Dividend Discount ModelNot meaningfulNeeds explicit dividend history, which is not included in the current version.
Net-Net Liquidation ValueNot meaningfulRequires current asset and liability detail beyond the current data set.
PEGNot meaningfulA quick growth multiple lens when EPS history is positive.
EV/EBITDANot meaningfulUseful for capital structure context when operating profit is available.
P/FCFLimitedA compact free-cash-flow multiple view for positive FCF years.
P/BLimitedMore useful for asset-heavy balance sheets than asset-light companies.
P/SLimitedA revenue multiple lens when profit or FCF is not stable.
Peer ComparisonNot meaningfulStandardized peer comparisons are not included in the current version.

Which valuation models are being calculated?

Hover each model row to inspect formulas and inputs.

Current price196.13 USD
Model median referenceLimited model reference
Price vs model medianLimited model reference
Price date2026/05/08
The aggregated models are mostly limited-reference views, so the composite range bar is not shown.
Calculated

DCF

Free cash flow, growth, discount rate, and terminal growth form an intrinsic value range.

13.75 USD23.63 USD31.81 USD

+730%

23.63 USDCurrent price is 730.2% above the base model value.
Excluded

Owner Earnings

Uses net income, D&A, and capex as an owner-earnings proxy.

---
-Owner earnings samples are insufficient.
Calculated

Reverse DCF

Solves the forward FCF growth rate implied by the current price.

Implied growth40.0%

Current price implies roughly 40.0% annualized FCF growth.

40.0%Current price implies roughly 40.0% annualized FCF growth.
Excluded

Earnings Power Value

Estimates earnings power value without assuming growth.

---
-Operating income data is insufficient.

Updated: 2026/05/10

Which financial trends support the assumptions?

Annual financial metrics with switchable views. · Unit: USD

FY2025 · Dec 2025 report14 records
Revenue2B USD
Net income-102M USD
Free cash flow287M USD
CapEx316M USD
Operating cash flow603M USD

Valuation basis and non-recurring items

Collapsed by default. Expand to inspect structured one-time items and adjusted figures without making them the primary page focus.

Expand

A positive amountAfterTax means the item increased reported net income; a negative value means it reduced reported net income. Adjusted net income = reported net income minus total after-tax impact. Valuation defaults to reported figures; adjusted figures are shown to observe one-time-item impact.

PeriodItemCategoryAfter-tax impactConfidence
2023/12/31Other special chargesOther-40M USDMedium
2023/12/31Special income/chargesOther-40M USDMedium
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Which reported financials feed the models?

Financial DetailsShowing latest 5 / 14
PeriodTypeRevenueNet IncomeAdjusted net incomeFree Cash FlowDiluted EPSAdjusted EPS
2025/12/31Annual2B USD-102M USD-287M USD-0.29-
2024/12/31Annual2B USD-79M USD-195M USD-0.23-
2023/12/31Annual1B USD-184M USD-104M USD140M USD-0.55-0.31
2022/12/31Annual975M USD-193M USD--20M USD-0.59-
2021/12/31Annual656M USD-260M USD--28M USD-0.83-

Where does this data come from?

Open to inspect field-level SEC EDGAR source, filing form, and derived notes.

SEC EDGAR

Frequently asked questions

Quick notes on price-implied expectations, model differences, and source data.

What is Cloudflare, Inc.'s intrinsic value?

Cloudflare, Inc.'s intrinsic value on TickerVal is reviewed through DCF outputs, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, valuation assumptions, and financial trends from public filings.

How is NET valued on TickerVal?

TickerVal values NET by comparing intrinsic value models, DCF and reverse DCF assumptions, cash-flow multiples, earnings-power references, and reported financial trends.

What does the current stock price imply?

The reverse DCF view estimates the free-cash-flow growth path implied by the current stock price under stated discount-rate and terminal-growth assumptions.

Which valuation models are used?

TickerVal uses DCF, reverse DCF, Owner Earnings, EPV, Graham Number, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, P/B, P/S, and other model references where the underlying data is available.

Is this investment advice?

No. TickerVal does not provide investment advice, ratings, price targets, or buy/sell recommendations.

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Research reference note

TickerVal is a research workspace, not a financial advisor. Pages on this site do not provide investment, legal, or tax advice and do not contain buy, sell, hold, ratings, price targets, or personalized recommendations. Financial data is derived from public company filings available through SEC EDGAR. TickerVal independently normalizes and computes valuation assumptions; figures may differ from company reports or other providers. TickerVal is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.