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Basic MaterialsGoldUnited States

Newmont Corporation (NEM) Valuation Assumptions

Review Newmont Corporation (NEM) valuation assumptions across intrinsic value, DCF, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and financial trends.

NYQ · US · USD

Latest price116.51 USD
30D-10.2%
Price vs model median+138%Model median is the median base output from applicable absolute models, excluding Reverse DCF.

Quick answer

What growth is the market currently pricing into NEM?

At 116.51 USD, TickerVal's reverse DCF setup implies roughly 15.2% annual FCF growth for 10 years for NEM, using the current normalized FCF base, a 9% discount rate, and 3.0% terminal growth. The rest of the page shows valuation assumptions, model differences, and source-data context for research reference.

What price implies

What does the current price imply?

At 116.51 USD, the model implies roughly 15.21% annual FCF growth for 10 years, with required long-term operating margin near 21.42% and terminal growth around 3%. This module is a research reference.

Implied FCF CAGR15.21%

10-year Reverse DCF scenario

Required long-term operating margin21.42%

Five-year median × 0.95

Implied terminal growth3%

From current model assumptions

Discount rate assumption9%

Estimated from current sector rules

Adjust assumptions+

Adjust assumptions

Move assumptions to see how the current price implied conditions change.

Forecast horizon10Y

Historical implied expectations

How does today's implied growth compare with history?

Calculated from selected historical prices and current normalized FCF assumptions, not a full point-in-time backtest.

Current implied FCF CAGR15.2%
5Y monthly median3.49%
Current vs 5Y median+11.71 pts

Showing 8 of 13 report price anchors

Report price anchorPrice dateAnchor priceImplied FCF CAGR
Q1-20262026/03/31108.25 USD14.24%
FY20252025/12/3199.65 USD13.15%
Q1-20262025/12/3199.65 USD13.15%
Q3-20252025/09/3083.90 USD10.89%
Q2-20252025/06/3057.78 USD6.02%
Q1-20262025/03/3147.66 USD3.5%
FY20242024/12/3136.53 USD-0%
Q3-20252024/12/3136.53 USD-0%
202614.7%

Avg 15.07% · Samples 5

20256.44%

Avg 7.07% · Samples 12

20241.38%

Avg 1.32% · Samples 12

20231.14%

Avg 1.2% · Samples 12

Historical valuation multiples

How have EV/EBITDA and P/FCF changed over the last 5 years?

Annual fiscal-period anchored: month-end prices are paired with the most recent annual fiscal period ending on or before each date, covering the last 5 years (61 monthly samples). Multiples are research references; financial-sector or otherwise non-comparable companies require sector-specific context.

P/E

Market cap divided by reported net income (annual fiscal-period snapshot).

18.22x
Near median · P46
Current5Y medianTypical range IQR
5Y median20.05x
Current18.22x · P46
5Y low 12.52xCurrent vs median-9.13%5Y high 48.59x
IQR 15.83–29.44x · 38 monthly samples

P/FCF

Market cap divided by reported free cash flow.

17.69x
Near median · P39
Current5Y medianTypical range IQR
5Y median20.27x
Current17.69x · P39
5Y low 10.64xCurrent vs median-12.75%5Y high 452x
IQR 16.25–32.15x · 61 monthly samples

EV/EBITDA

Enterprise value (market cap + debt − cash) divided by EBITDA.

8.98x
Near median · P26
Current5Y medianTypical range IQR
5Y median13.95x
Current8.98x · P26
5Y low 6.22xCurrent vs median-35.63%5Y high 155x
IQR 8.98–96.99x · 41 monthly samples

Month-end historical multiples

A date-friendly view for historical EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and P/E queries.

Showing 8 of 61 month-end samples
Month-endPriceP/EP/FCFEV/EBITDAFiscal period used
2026-05-08116.51 USD18.22x17.69x8.98x2025-12-31
2026-04-30111.09 USD17.37x16.86x8.55x2025-12-31
2026-03-31108.25 USD16.93x16.43x8.33x2025-12-31
2026-02-27129.74 USD20.29x19.69x10.02x2025-12-31
2026-01-30112.12 USD17.53x17.02x8.64x2025-12-31
2025-12-3199.65 USD15.58x15.13x7.66x2025-12-31
2025-11-2890.55 USD31.05x35.11x14.45x2024-12-31
2025-10-3180.57 USD27.63x31.24x12.93x2024-12-31

Valuation overview

How do the valuation assumptions fit together?

Newmont Corporation (NEM) valuation on TickerVal is designed to help readers understand the operating expectations embedded in the current market price. At 116.51 USD, the page brings intrinsic value analysis, DCF outputs, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and valuation assumptions into one research view within the Basic Materials sector and the Gold industry. Instead of treating one model as a final answer, TickerVal compares cash-flow, earnings-power, balance-sheet, and relative-multiple lenses so the differences between models are visible. The reverse DCF view currently shows implied growth of 15.2%, while the model median reference sits at +138% versus the current price. The DCF and reverse DCF sections focus on free cash flow, discount rate, terminal growth, and the long-term growth path implied by the current price. EV/EBITDA and P/FCF provide additional context for capital structure and cash-flow multiples. The financial trends section connects those valuation assumptions back to reported revenue of 23B USD, free cash flow of 7B USD, margins, and balance-sheet facts from public filings. Readers can use the layout to compare assumptions across models before reviewing the underlying source data. This page is intended for transparent research reference, model review, and assumption checking.

Valuation model range vs. current price

Each row shows a model output range, with a vertical line for the current price.

Model output range
DCFCalculated · Limited reference
31.42 USD-39.40 USD
Earnings Power ValueCalculated
48.87 USD-48.87 USD
Graham NumberCalculated · Limited reference
66.29 USD-66.29 USD
Owner EarningsCalculated
55.98 USD-118.00 USD
Current price reference line

Why do valuation models give different answers?

Different models rely on different financial facts. The status blocks show which lenses fit this page data.

ModelFitContext
DCFLimitedLatest FCF is an outlier, so DCF is a limited scenario reference.
Owner EarningsSuitableUseful when net income, D&A, and capex support owner-earnings scenarios.
Reverse DCFSuitableShows the FCF growth implied by current price under stated assumptions.
Earnings Power ValueSuitableUseful for mature operating profit, with limited emphasis on growth.
Graham NumberLimitedWorks best when EPS and book value are both positive.
Dividend Discount ModelNot meaningfulNeeds explicit dividend history, which is not included in the current version.
Net-Net Liquidation ValueNot meaningfulRequires current asset and liability detail beyond the current data set.
PEGLimitedA quick growth multiple lens when EPS history is positive.
EV/EBITDALimitedUseful for capital structure context when operating profit is available.
P/FCFLimitedA compact free-cash-flow multiple view for positive FCF years.
P/BLimitedMore useful for asset-heavy balance sheets than asset-light companies.
P/SLimitedA revenue multiple lens when profit or FCF is not stable.
Peer ComparisonNot meaningfulStandardized peer comparisons are not included in the current version.

Which valuation models are being calculated?

Hover each model row to inspect formulas and inputs.

Current price116.51 USD
Model median reference48.87 USD
Price vs model median+138%
Price date2026/05/08
48.87 USD48.87 USD48.87 USD

+138%

Calculated

DCF

Free cash flow, growth, discount rate, and terminal growth form an intrinsic value range.

33.62 USD31.42 USD39.40 USD
31.42 USDThis model is a limited scenario reference for this sector.
Calculated

Owner Earnings

Uses net income, D&A, and capex as an owner-earnings proxy.

55.98 USD90.56 USD118.00 USD

+28.66%

90.56 USDThis model is a limited scenario reference for this sector.Adjusted reference: 162.70 USD
Calculated

Reverse DCF

Solves the forward FCF growth rate implied by the current price.

Implied growth15.2%

Current price implies roughly 15.2% annualized FCF growth.

15.2%Current price implies roughly 15.2% annualized FCF growth.
Calculated

Earnings Power Value

Estimates earnings power value without assuming growth.

48.87 USD48.87 USD48.87 USD

+138%

48.87 USDCurrent price is 138.4% above the base model value.

Updated: 2026/05/10

Which financial trends support the assumptions?

Annual financial metrics with switchable views. · Unit: USD

FY2025 · Dec 2025 report14 records
Revenue23B USD
Net income7B USD
Free cash flow7B USD
CapEx3B USD
Operating cash flow10B USD

Valuation basis and non-recurring items

Collapsed by default. Expand to inspect structured one-time items and adjusted figures without making them the primary page focus.

Expand

A positive amountAfterTax means the item increased reported net income; a negative value means it reduced reported net income. Adjusted net income = reported net income minus total after-tax impact. Valuation defaults to reported figures; adjusted figures are shown to observe one-time-item impact.

PeriodItemCategoryAfter-tax impactConfidence
2025/12/31Asset impairmentImpairment-665M USDMedium
2025/12/31Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss369M USDMedium
2025/12/31Other special chargesOther-81M USDMedium
2025/12/31Restructuring and merger costsRestructuring-147M USDMedium
2025/12/31Special income/chargesOther-67M USDMedium
2024/12/31Asset impairmentImpairment-62M USDMedium
2024/12/31Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss129M USDMedium
2024/12/31Other special chargesOther-10M USDMedium
2024/12/31Restructuring and merger costsRestructuring-87M USDMedium
2024/12/31Special income/chargesOther-1B USDMedium
2023/12/31Asset impairmentImpairment-1B USDMedium
2023/12/31Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss-81M USDMedium
2023/12/31Other special chargesOther-13M USDMedium
2023/12/31Restructuring and merger costsRestructuring-386M USDMedium
2023/12/31Special income/chargesOther-2B USDMedium
2022/12/31Asset impairmentImpairment-1B USDMedium
2022/12/31Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss-40M USDMedium
2022/12/31Other special chargesOther-145M USDMedium
2022/12/31Restructuring and merger costsRestructuring-3M USDMedium
2022/12/31Special income/chargesOther-1B USDMedium
2021/12/31Discontinued operationsDiscontinued operations-15M USDHigh
2021/12/31Restructuring chargesRestructuring-14M USDMedium
2020/12/31Discontinued operationsDiscontinued operations224M USDHigh
2020/12/31Restructuring chargesRestructuring-22M USDMedium
2026/03/31Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss40M USDMedium
2026/03/31Other special chargesOther-2M USDMedium
2026/03/31Restructuring and merger costsRestructuring-5M USDMedium
2026/03/31Special income/chargesOther-9M USDMedium
2026/03/31Write-offImpairment-7M USDMedium
2025/12/31Asset impairmentImpairment-615M USDMedium
2025/12/31Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss85M USDMedium
2025/12/31Other special chargesOther-2M USDMedium
2025/12/31Restructuring and merger costsRestructuring-62M USDMedium
2025/12/31Special income/chargesOther-691M USDMedium
2025/09/30Asset impairmentImpairment-31M USDMedium
2025/09/30Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss-2M USDMedium
2025/09/30Other special chargesOther-55M USDMedium
2025/09/30Restructuring and merger costsRestructuring-70M USDMedium
2025/09/30Special income/chargesOther-83M USDMedium
2025/06/30Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss73M USDMedium
2025/06/30Other special chargesOther-14M USDMedium
2025/06/30Restructuring and merger costsRestructuring-4M USDMedium
2025/06/30Special income/chargesOther525M USDMedium
2025/06/30Write-offImpairment-7M USDMedium
2025/03/31Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss214M USDMedium
2025/03/31Other special chargesOther-10M USDMedium
2025/03/31Restructuring and merger costsRestructuring-10M USDMedium
2025/03/31Special income/chargesOther182M USDMedium
2025/03/31Write-offImpairment-12M USDMedium
2024/09/30Discontinued operationsDiscontinued operations117M USDHigh
2024/09/30Restructuring chargesRestructuring-20M USDMedium
2024/06/30Discontinued operationsDiscontinued operations34M USDHigh
2024/06/30Restructuring chargesRestructuring-19M USDMedium
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Which reported financials feed the models?

Financial DetailsShowing latest 5 / 14
PeriodTypeRevenueNet IncomeAdjusted net incomeFree Cash FlowDiluted EPSAdjusted EPS
2025/12/31Annual23B USD7B USD8B USD7B USD6.396.92
2024/12/31Annual19B USD3B USD4B USD3B USD2.923.83
2023/12/31Annual12B USD-2B USD2B USD97M USD-2.971.82
2022/12/31Annual12B USD-429M USD2B USD1B USD-0.542.47
2021/12/31Annual12B USD1B USD1B USD3B USD1.461.5

Where does this data come from?

Open to inspect field-level SEC EDGAR source, filing form, and derived notes.

SEC EDGAR

Frequently asked questions

Quick notes on price-implied expectations, model differences, and source data.

What is Newmont Corporation's intrinsic value?

Newmont Corporation's intrinsic value on TickerVal is reviewed through DCF outputs, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, valuation assumptions, and financial trends from public filings.

How is NEM valued on TickerVal?

TickerVal values NEM by comparing intrinsic value models, DCF and reverse DCF assumptions, cash-flow multiples, earnings-power references, and reported financial trends.

What does the current stock price imply?

The reverse DCF view estimates the free-cash-flow growth path implied by the current stock price under stated discount-rate and terminal-growth assumptions.

Which valuation models are used?

TickerVal uses DCF, reverse DCF, Owner Earnings, EPV, Graham Number, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, P/B, P/S, and other model references where the underlying data is available.

Is this investment advice?

No. TickerVal does not provide investment advice, ratings, price targets, or buy/sell recommendations.

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Research reference note

TickerVal is a research workspace, not a financial advisor. Pages on this site do not provide investment, legal, or tax advice and do not contain buy, sell, hold, ratings, price targets, or personalized recommendations. Financial data is derived from public company filings available through SEC EDGAR. TickerVal independently normalizes and computes valuation assumptions; figures may differ from company reports or other providers. TickerVal is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.