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IndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesUnited States

Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) Valuation Assumptions

Review Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) valuation assumptions across intrinsic value, DCF, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and financial trends.

NYQ · US · USD

Latest price18.49 USD
30D+109%
Price vs model medianLimited model referenceModel median is the median base output from applicable absolute models, excluding Reverse DCF.

What price implies

What does the current price imply?

At 18.49 USD, the model implies roughly - annual FCF growth for 10 years, with required long-term operating margin near Assumption unavailable and terminal growth around 3%. This module is a research reference.

Implied FCF CAGR-

10-year Reverse DCF scenario

Required long-term operating marginAssumption unavailable

Five-year median × 0.95

Implied terminal growth3%

From current model assumptions

Discount rate assumption9%

Estimated from current sector rules

Historical valuation multiples

How have EV/EBITDA and P/FCF changed over the last 5 years?

Annual fiscal-period anchored: month-end prices are paired with the most recent annual fiscal period ending on or before each date, covering the last 5 years (26 monthly samples). Multiples are research references; financial-sector or otherwise non-comparable companies require sector-specific context.

EV/EBITDA

Enterprise value (market cap + debt − cash) divided by EBITDA.

5.49x
Below history · P3
Current5Y medianTypical range IQR
5Y median13.14x
Current5.49x · P3
5Y low 5.49xCurrent vs median-58.22%5Y high 394x
IQR 8.47–211x · 20 monthly samples

Month-end historical multiples

A date-friendly view for historical EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and P/E queries.

Showing 8 of 26 month-end samples
Month-endPriceP/EP/FCFEV/EBITDAFiscal period used
2026-05-0818.49 USD11.54x--2025-12-31
2026-04-3017.83 USD11.13x--2025-12-31
2026-03-3112.58 USD7.85x--2025-12-31
2026-02-278.85 USD5.52x--2025-12-31
2026-01-3011.45 USD7.15x--2025-12-31
2025-12-317.50 USD4.68x--2025-12-31
2022-12-307.68 USD--5.49x2021-12-31
2022-11-3010.08 USD--7.44x2021-12-31

Valuation overview

How do the valuation assumptions fit together?

Spire Global, Inc. (SPIR) valuation on TickerVal is designed to help readers understand the operating expectations embedded in the current market price. At 18.49 USD, the page brings intrinsic value analysis, DCF outputs, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and valuation assumptions into one research view within the Industrials sector and the Specialty Business Services industry. Instead of treating one model as a final answer, TickerVal compares cash-flow, earnings-power, balance-sheet, and relative-multiple lenses so the differences between models are visible. The reverse DCF view currently shows implied growth of not available, while the model median reference sits at a limited composite reference versus the current price. The DCF and reverse DCF sections focus on free cash flow, discount rate, terminal growth, and the long-term growth path implied by the current price. EV/EBITDA and P/FCF provide additional context for capital structure and cash-flow multiples. The financial trends section connects those valuation assumptions back to reported revenue of 72M USD, free cash flow of -93M USD, margins, and balance-sheet facts from public filings. Readers can use the layout to compare assumptions across models before reviewing the underlying source data. This page is intended for transparent research reference, model review, and assumption checking.

Valuation model range vs. current price

Each row shows a model output range, with a vertical line for the current price.

Model output range
Earnings Power ValueCalculated · Limited reference
19.41 USD-19.41 USD
Graham NumberCalculated · Limited reference
10.89 USD-10.89 USD
Owner EarningsCalculated · Limited reference
15.26 USD-18.39 USD
Current price reference line

Why do valuation models give different answers?

Different models rely on different financial facts. The status blocks show which lenses fit this page data.

ModelFitContext
DCFNot meaningfulUseful when recurring free cash flow history exists; sensitive to growth and discount assumptions.
Owner EarningsLimitedUseful when net income, D&A, and capex support owner-earnings scenarios.
Reverse DCFNot meaningfulShows the FCF growth implied by current price under stated assumptions.
Earnings Power ValueLimitedUseful for mature operating profit, with limited emphasis on growth.
Graham NumberLimitedWorks best when EPS and book value are both positive.
Dividend Discount ModelNot meaningfulNeeds explicit dividend history, which is not included in the current version.
Net-Net Liquidation ValueNot meaningfulRequires current asset and liability detail beyond the current data set.
PEGNot meaningfulA quick growth multiple lens when EPS history is positive.
EV/EBITDALimitedUseful for capital structure context when operating profit is available.
P/FCFNot meaningfulA compact free-cash-flow multiple view for positive FCF years.
P/BLimitedMore useful for asset-heavy balance sheets than asset-light companies.
P/SLimitedA revenue multiple lens when profit or FCF is not stable.
Peer ComparisonNot meaningfulStandardized peer comparisons are not included in the current version.

Which valuation models are being calculated?

Hover each model row to inspect formulas and inputs.

Current price18.49 USD
Model median referenceLimited model reference
Price vs model medianLimited model reference
Price date2026/05/08
The aggregated models are mostly limited-reference views, so the composite range bar is not shown.
Excluded

DCF

Free cash flow, growth, discount rate, and terminal growth form an intrinsic value range.

---
-Positive free-cash-flow history is shorter than two years.
Calculated

Owner Earnings

Uses net income, D&A, and capex as an owner-earnings proxy.

15.26 USD17.20 USD18.39 USD
17.20 USDCurrent price is close to the base model value.
Excluded

Reverse DCF

Solves the forward FCF growth rate implied by the current price.

Implied growth-

-

-Positive free-cash-flow samples are insufficient.
Calculated

Earnings Power Value

Estimates earnings power value without assuming growth.

19.41 USD19.41 USD19.41 USD
19.41 USDCurrent price is close to the base model value.

Updated: 2026/05/10

Which financial trends support the assumptions?

Annual financial metrics with switchable views. · Unit: USD

FY2025 · Dec 2025 report14 records
Revenue72M USD
Net income51M USD
Free cash flow-93M USD
CapEx33M USD
Operating cash flow-60M USD

Valuation basis and non-recurring items

Collapsed by default. Expand to inspect structured one-time items and adjusted figures without making them the primary page focus.

Expand

A positive amountAfterTax means the item increased reported net income; a negative value means it reduced reported net income. Adjusted net income = reported net income minus total after-tax impact. Valuation defaults to reported figures; adjusted figures are shown to observe one-time-item impact.

PeriodItemCategoryAfter-tax impactConfidence
2025/12/31Asset impairmentImpairment-11M USDMedium
2025/12/31Business sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss122M USDMedium
2025/12/31Severance costsRestructuring-2M USDMedium
2024/12/31Asset impairmentImpairment-3M USDMedium
2023/12/31Asset impairmentImpairment-809K USDMedium
2022/12/31Asset impairmentImpairment-619K USDMedium
2021/12/31Asset impairmentImpairment-72K USDMedium
2020/12/31Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss-557K USDMedium
2025/12/31Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss-76K USDMedium
2025/12/31Other special chargesOther-2M USDMedium
2025/12/31Restructuring and merger costsRestructuring-21K USDMedium
2025/12/31Special income/chargesOther-2M USDMedium
2025/09/30Asset impairmentImpairment-5M USDMedium
2025/09/30Business sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss122M USDMedium
2025/06/30Asset impairmentImpairment-5M USDMedium
2025/06/30Business sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss244M USDMedium
2025/03/31Asset impairmentImpairment-4M USDMedium
2024/12/31Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss-9M USDMedium
2024/12/31Other special chargesOther-2M USDMedium
2024/12/31Restructuring and merger costsRestructuring-409K USDMedium
2024/12/31Special income/chargesOther-2M USDMedium
2024/09/30Asset impairmentImpairment-1M USDMedium
2024/06/30Asset impairmentImpairment-730K USDMedium
2024/03/31Asset impairmentImpairment-341K USDMedium
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Which reported financials feed the models?

Financial DetailsShowing latest 5 / 14
PeriodTypeRevenueNet IncomeAdjusted net incomeFree Cash FlowDiluted EPSAdjusted EPS
2025/12/31Annual72M USD51M USD-58M USD-93M USD1.49-1.7
2024/12/31Annual110M USD-103M USD-100M USD-45M USD-4.26-4.13
2023/12/31Annual106M USD-64M USD-63M USD-54M USD-3.27-3.23
2022/12/31Annual80M USD-89M USD-89M USD-67M USD-0.64-0.64
2021/12/31Annual43M USD-19M USD-19M USD-73M USD-0.61-0.61

Where does this data come from?

Open to inspect field-level SEC EDGAR source, filing form, and derived notes.

SEC EDGAR

Frequently asked questions

Quick notes on price-implied expectations, model differences, and source data.

What is Spire Global, Inc.'s intrinsic value?

Spire Global, Inc.'s intrinsic value on TickerVal is reviewed through DCF outputs, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, valuation assumptions, and financial trends from public filings.

How is SPIR valued on TickerVal?

TickerVal values SPIR by comparing intrinsic value models, DCF and reverse DCF assumptions, cash-flow multiples, earnings-power references, and reported financial trends.

What does the current stock price imply?

The reverse DCF view estimates the free-cash-flow growth path implied by the current stock price under stated discount-rate and terminal-growth assumptions.

Which valuation models are used?

TickerVal uses DCF, reverse DCF, Owner Earnings, EPV, Graham Number, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, P/B, P/S, and other model references where the underlying data is available.

Is this investment advice?

No. TickerVal does not provide investment advice, ratings, price targets, or buy/sell recommendations.

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Research reference note

TickerVal is a research workspace, not a financial advisor. Pages on this site do not provide investment, legal, or tax advice and do not contain buy, sell, hold, ratings, price targets, or personalized recommendations. Financial data is derived from public company filings available through SEC EDGAR. TickerVal independently normalizes and computes valuation assumptions; figures may differ from company reports or other providers. TickerVal is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.