SV
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UtilitiesUtilities - Regulated ElectricUnited States

The Southern Company (SO) Valuation Assumptions

Review The Southern Company (SO) valuation assumptions across intrinsic value, DCF, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and financial trends.

NYQ · US · USD

Latest price91.80 USD
30D-5.73%
Price vs model medianLimited model referenceModel median is the median base output from applicable absolute models, excluding Reverse DCF.

Quick answer

What growth is the market currently pricing into SO?

At 91.80 USD, TickerVal's reverse DCF setup implies roughly 26.0% annual FCF growth for 10 years for SO, using the current normalized FCF base, a 8% discount rate, and 3.0% terminal growth. The rest of the page shows valuation assumptions, model differences, and source-data context for research reference.

What price implies

What does the current price imply?

At 91.80 USD, the model implies roughly 26.03% annual FCF growth for 10 years, with required long-term operating margin near 21.92% and terminal growth around 3%. This module is a research reference.

Implied FCF CAGR26.03%

10-year Reverse DCF scenario

Required long-term operating margin21.92%

Five-year median × 0.95

Implied terminal growth3%

From current model assumptions

Discount rate assumption8%

Estimated from current sector rules

Adjust assumptions+

Adjust assumptions

Move assumptions to see how the current price implied conditions change.

Forecast horizon10Y

Historical implied expectations

How does today's implied growth compare with history?

Calculated from selected historical prices and current normalized FCF assumptions, not a full point-in-time backtest.

Current implied FCF CAGR26%
5Y monthly median21.62%
Current vs 5Y median+4.38 pts

Showing 8 of 13 report price anchors

Report price anchorPrice dateAnchor priceImplied FCF CAGR
Q1-20262026/03/3196.52 USD26.71%
FY20252025/12/3186.52 USD25.23%
Q1-20262025/12/3186.52 USD25.23%
Q3-20252025/09/3093.26 USD26.25%
Q2-20252025/06/3089.66 USD25.71%
Q1-20262025/03/3189.03 USD25.62%
FY20242024/12/3179.03 USD24.01%
Q3-20252024/12/3179.03 USD24.01%
202626.71%

Avg 26.37% · Samples 5

202525.66%

Avg 25.61% · Samples 12

202423.71%

Avg 23.39% · Samples 12

202320.98%

Avg 20.92% · Samples 12

Historical valuation multiples

How have EV/EBITDA and P/FCF changed over the last 5 years?

Annual fiscal-period anchored: month-end prices are paired with the most recent annual fiscal period ending on or before each date, covering the last 5 years (61 monthly samples). Multiples are research references; financial-sector or otherwise non-comparable companies require sector-specific context.

P/E

Market cap divided by reported net income (annual fiscal-period snapshot).

23.45x
Near median · P68
Current5Y medianTypical range IQR
5Y median22.1x
Current23.45x · P68
5Y low 17.32xCurrent vs median+6.1%5Y high 30.28x
IQR 19.05–24.66x · 61 monthly samples

P/FCF

Market cap divided by reported free cash flow.

120x
Near median · P63
Current5Y medianTypical range IQR
5Y median118x
Current120x · P63
5Y low 105xCurrent vs median+1.19%5Y high 123x
IQR 116–121x · 12 monthly samples

EV/EBITDA

Enterprise value (market cap + debt − cash) divided by EBITDA.

7.07x
Near median · P52
Current5Y medianTypical range IQR
5Y median7x
Current7.07x · P52
5Y low 6xCurrent vs median+1.03%5Y high 8.21x
IQR 6.63–7.49x · 41 monthly samples

Month-end historical multiples

A date-friendly view for historical EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and P/E queries.

Showing 8 of 61 month-end samples
Month-endPriceP/EP/FCFEV/EBITDAFiscal period used
2026-05-0891.80 USD23.45x-7.07x2025-12-31
2026-04-3096.70 USD24.7x-7.45x2025-12-31
2026-03-3196.52 USD24.66x-7.44x2025-12-31
2026-02-2797.38 USD24.88x-7.51x2025-12-31
2026-01-3088.61 USD22.64x-6.82x2025-12-31
2025-12-3186.52 USD22.1x-6.66x2025-12-31
2025-11-2890.41 USD22.64x120x7.55x2024-12-31
2025-10-3192.55 USD23.17x122x7.72x2024-12-31

Valuation overview

How do the valuation assumptions fit together?

The Southern Company (SO) valuation on TickerVal is designed to help readers understand the operating expectations embedded in the current market price. At 91.80 USD, the page brings intrinsic value analysis, DCF outputs, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and valuation assumptions into one research view within the Utilities sector and the Utilities - Regulated Electric industry. Instead of treating one model as a final answer, TickerVal compares cash-flow, earnings-power, balance-sheet, and relative-multiple lenses so the differences between models are visible. The reverse DCF view currently shows implied growth of 26.0%, while the model median reference sits at a limited composite reference versus the current price. The DCF and reverse DCF sections focus on free cash flow, discount rate, terminal growth, and the long-term growth path implied by the current price. EV/EBITDA and P/FCF provide additional context for capital structure and cash-flow multiples. The financial trends section connects those valuation assumptions back to reported revenue of 30B USD, free cash flow of -3B USD, margins, and balance-sheet facts from public filings. Readers can use the layout to compare assumptions across models before reviewing the underlying source data. This page is intended for transparent research reference, model review, and assumption checking.

Valuation model range vs. current price

Each row shows a model output range, with a vertical line for the current price.

Model output range
Earnings Power ValueCalculated
60.72 USD-60.72 USD
Graham NumberCalculated · Limited reference
53.52 USD-53.52 USD
Owner EarningsCalculated · Limited reference
12.15 USD-14.75 USD
Current price reference line

Why do valuation models give different answers?

Different models rely on different financial facts. The status blocks show which lenses fit this page data.

ModelFitContext
DCFLimitedUseful when recurring free cash flow history exists; sensitive to growth and discount assumptions.
Owner EarningsLimitedUseful when net income, D&A, and capex support owner-earnings scenarios.
Reverse DCFSuitableShows the FCF growth implied by current price under stated assumptions.
Earnings Power ValueSuitableUseful for mature operating profit, with limited emphasis on growth.
Graham NumberLimitedWorks best when EPS and book value are both positive.
Dividend Discount ModelNot meaningfulNeeds explicit dividend history, which is not included in the current version.
Net-Net Liquidation ValueNot meaningfulRequires current asset and liability detail beyond the current data set.
PEGLimitedA quick growth multiple lens when EPS history is positive.
EV/EBITDALimitedUseful for capital structure context when operating profit is available.
P/FCFLimitedA compact free-cash-flow multiple view for positive FCF years.
P/BLimitedMore useful for asset-heavy balance sheets than asset-light companies.
P/SLimitedA revenue multiple lens when profit or FCF is not stable.
Peer ComparisonNot meaningfulStandardized peer comparisons are not included in the current version.

Which valuation models are being calculated?

Hover each model row to inspect formulas and inputs.

Current price91.80 USD
Model median referenceLimited model reference
Price vs model medianLimited model reference
Price date2026/05/08
The aggregated models are mostly limited-reference views, so the composite range bar is not shown.
Excluded

DCF

Free cash flow, growth, discount rate, and terminal growth form an intrinsic value range.

---
-Positive free-cash-flow history is shorter than two years.
Calculated

Owner Earnings

Uses net income, D&A, and capex as an owner-earnings proxy.

12.15 USD13.76 USD14.75 USD
13.76 USDCurrent price is 567.2% above the base model value.Adjusted reference: 118.12 USD
Calculated

Reverse DCF

Solves the forward FCF growth rate implied by the current price.

Implied growth26.0%

Current price implies roughly 26.0% annualized FCF growth.

26.0%Current price implies roughly 26.0% annualized FCF growth.
Calculated

Earnings Power Value

Estimates earnings power value without assuming growth.

60.72 USD60.72 USD60.72 USD

+51.19%

60.72 USDCurrent price is 51.2% above the base model value.

Updated: 2026/05/10

Which financial trends support the assumptions?

Annual financial metrics with switchable views. · Unit: USD

FY2025 · Dec 2025 report14 records
Revenue30B USD
Net income4B USD
Free cash flow-3B USD
CapEx13B USD
Operating cash flow10B USD

Valuation basis and non-recurring items

Collapsed by default. Expand to inspect structured one-time items and adjusted figures without making them the primary page focus.

Expand

A positive amountAfterTax means the item increased reported net income; a negative value means it reduced reported net income. Adjusted net income = reported net income minus total after-tax impact. Valuation defaults to reported figures; adjusted figures are shown to observe one-time-item impact.

PeriodItemCategoryAfter-tax impactConfidence
2025/12/31Other special chargesOther-269M USDMedium
2025/12/31Special income/chargesOther269M USDMedium
2024/12/31Other special chargesOther-186M USDMedium
2024/12/31Special income/chargesOther186M USDMedium
2023/12/31Other special chargesOther-212M USDMedium
2023/12/31Special income/chargesOther212M USDMedium
2022/12/31Business sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss45M USDMedium
2022/12/31Other special chargesOther-177M USDMedium
2022/12/31Special income/chargesOther177M USDMedium
2022/12/31Write-offImpairment-198M USDMedium
2021/12/31Asset impairmentImpairment-133M USDMedium
2020/12/31Asset impairmentImpairment-166M USDMedium
2026/03/31Other special chargesOther-96M USDMedium
2026/03/31Special income/chargesOther96M USDMedium
2025/12/31Other special chargesOther-77M USDMedium
2025/12/31Special income/chargesOther77M USDMedium
2025/09/30Other special chargesOther-71M USDMedium
2025/09/30Special income/chargesOther71M USDMedium
2025/06/30Other special chargesOther-63M USDMedium
2025/06/30Special income/chargesOther63M USDMedium
2025/03/31Other special chargesOther-58M USDMedium
2025/03/31Special income/chargesOther58M USDMedium
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Which reported financials feed the models?

Financial DetailsShowing latest 5 / 14
PeriodTypeRevenueNet IncomeAdjusted net incomeFree Cash FlowDiluted EPSAdjusted EPS
2025/12/31Annual30B USD4B USD4B USD-3B USD3.923.92
2024/12/31Annual27B USD4B USD4B USD833M USD3.993.99
2023/12/31Annual25B USD4B USD4B USD-2B USD3.623.62
2022/12/31Annual29B USD4B USD4B USD-2B USD3.263.4
2021/12/31Annual23B USD2B USD3B USD-1B USD2.242.36

Where does this data come from?

Open to inspect field-level SEC EDGAR source, filing form, and derived notes.

SEC EDGAR

Frequently asked questions

Quick notes on price-implied expectations, model differences, and source data.

What is The Southern Company's intrinsic value?

The Southern Company's intrinsic value on TickerVal is reviewed through DCF outputs, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, valuation assumptions, and financial trends from public filings.

How is SO valued on TickerVal?

TickerVal values SO by comparing intrinsic value models, DCF and reverse DCF assumptions, cash-flow multiples, earnings-power references, and reported financial trends.

What does the current stock price imply?

The reverse DCF view estimates the free-cash-flow growth path implied by the current stock price under stated discount-rate and terminal-growth assumptions.

Which valuation models are used?

TickerVal uses DCF, reverse DCF, Owner Earnings, EPV, Graham Number, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, P/B, P/S, and other model references where the underlying data is available.

Is this investment advice?

No. TickerVal does not provide investment advice, ratings, price targets, or buy/sell recommendations.

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Research reference note

TickerVal is a research workspace, not a financial advisor. Pages on this site do not provide investment, legal, or tax advice and do not contain buy, sell, hold, ratings, price targets, or personalized recommendations. Financial data is derived from public company filings available through SEC EDGAR. TickerVal independently normalizes and computes valuation assumptions; figures may differ from company reports or other providers. TickerVal is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.