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Communication ServicesInternet Content & InformationNetherlands

Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) Valuation Assumptions

Review Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) valuation assumptions across intrinsic value, DCF, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and financial trends.

NMS · US · USD

Latest price177.05 USD
30D+94.16%
Price vs model medianLimited model referenceModel median is the median base output from applicable absolute models, excluding Reverse DCF.

Quick answer

What growth is the market currently pricing into NBIS?

At 177.05 USD, TickerVal's reverse DCF setup implies roughly 40.0% annual FCF growth for 10 years for NBIS, using the current normalized FCF base, a 9.5% discount rate, and 3.0% terminal growth. The rest of the page shows valuation assumptions, model differences, and source-data context for research reference.

What price implies

What does the current price imply?

At 177.05 USD, the model implies roughly 40% annual FCF growth for 10 years, with required long-term operating margin near 2.89% and terminal growth around 3%. This module is a research reference.

Implied FCF CAGR40%

10-year Reverse DCF scenario

Required long-term operating margin2.89%

Five-year median × 0.95

Implied terminal growth3%

From current model assumptions

Discount rate assumption9.5%

Estimated from current sector rules

Adjust assumptions+

Adjust assumptions

Move assumptions to see how the current price implied conditions change.

Forecast horizon10Y

Historical implied expectations

How does today's implied growth compare with history?

Calculated from selected historical prices and current normalized FCF assumptions, not a full point-in-time backtest.

Current implied FCF CAGR40%
5Y monthly median32.63%
Current vs 5Y median+7.37 pts

Showing 6 of 6 report price anchors

Report price anchorPrice dateAnchor priceImplied FCF CAGR
FY20252025/12/3183.71 USD37.08%
Q3-20252025/09/30112.27 USD40%
Q2-20252025/06/3055.33 USD31.13%
Q1-20252025/03/3121.11 USD17.86%
FY20242024/12/3127.70 USD21.53%
FY20252024/12/3127.70 USD21.53%
202640%

Avg 39.14% · Samples 5

202531.01%

Avg 30.15% · Samples 12

202418.41%

Avg 19.32% · Samples 3

Valuation overview

How do the valuation assumptions fit together?

Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS) valuation on TickerVal is designed to help readers understand the operating expectations embedded in the current market price. At 177.05 USD, the page brings intrinsic value analysis, DCF outputs, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and valuation assumptions into one research view within the Communication Services sector and the Internet Content & Information industry. Instead of treating one model as a final answer, TickerVal compares cash-flow, earnings-power, balance-sheet, and relative-multiple lenses so the differences between models are visible. The reverse DCF view currently shows implied growth of 40.0%, while the model median reference sits at a limited composite reference versus the current price. The DCF and reverse DCF sections focus on free cash flow, discount rate, terminal growth, and the long-term growth path implied by the current price. EV/EBITDA and P/FCF provide additional context for capital structure and cash-flow multiples. The financial trends section connects those valuation assumptions back to reported revenue of 530M USD, free cash flow of -4B USD, margins, and balance-sheet facts from public filings. Readers can use the layout to compare assumptions across models before reviewing the underlying source data. This page is intended for transparent research reference, model review, and assumption checking.

Valuation model range vs. current price

Each row shows a model output range, with a vertical line for the current price.

Model output range
Earnings Power ValueCalculated
2.82 USD-2.82 USD
Graham NumberCalculated · Limited reference
11.74 USD-11.74 USD
Owner EarningsCalculated · Limited reference
17.62 USD-25.41 USD
Current price reference line

Why do valuation models give different answers?

Different models rely on different financial facts. The status blocks show which lenses fit this page data.

ModelFitContext
DCFLimitedUseful when recurring free cash flow history exists; sensitive to growth and discount assumptions.
Owner EarningsLimitedUseful when net income, D&A, and capex support owner-earnings scenarios.
Reverse DCFSuitableShows the FCF growth implied by current price under stated assumptions.
Earnings Power ValueSuitableUseful for mature operating profit, with limited emphasis on growth.
Graham NumberLimitedWorks best when EPS and book value are both positive.
Dividend Discount ModelNot meaningfulNeeds explicit dividend history, which is not included in the current version.
Net-Net Liquidation ValueNot meaningfulRequires current asset and liability detail beyond the current data set.
PEGLimitedA quick growth multiple lens when EPS history is positive.
EV/EBITDALimitedUseful for capital structure context when operating profit is available.
P/FCFLimitedA compact free-cash-flow multiple view for positive FCF years.
P/BLimitedMore useful for asset-heavy balance sheets than asset-light companies.
P/SLimitedA revenue multiple lens when profit or FCF is not stable.
Peer ComparisonNot meaningfulStandardized peer comparisons are not included in the current version.

Which valuation models are being calculated?

Hover each model row to inspect formulas and inputs.

Current price177.05 USD
Model median referenceLimited model reference
Price vs model medianLimited model reference
Price date2026/05/08
The aggregated models are mostly limited-reference views, so the composite range bar is not shown.
Excluded

DCF

Free cash flow, growth, discount rate, and terminal growth form an intrinsic value range.

---
-Positive free-cash-flow history is shorter than two years.
Calculated

Owner Earnings

Uses net income, D&A, and capex as an owner-earnings proxy.

17.62 USD22.29 USD25.41 USD
22.29 USDCurrent price is 694.2% above the base model value.Adjusted reference: 16.14 USD
Calculated

Reverse DCF

Solves the forward FCF growth rate implied by the current price.

Implied growth40.0%

Current price implies roughly 40.0% annualized FCF growth.

40.0%Current price implies roughly 40.0% annualized FCF growth.
Calculated

Earnings Power Value

Estimates earnings power value without assuming growth.

2.82 USD2.82 USD2.82 USD

+6,178%

2.82 USDCurrent price is 6187.2% above the base model value.

Updated: 2026/05/10

Which financial trends support the assumptions?

Annual financial metrics with switchable views. · Unit: USD

FY2025 · Dec 2025 report14 records
Revenue530M USD
Net income83M USD
Free cash flow-4B USD
CapEx4B USD
Operating cash flow385M USD

Valuation basis and non-recurring items

Collapsed by default. Expand to inspect structured one-time items and adjusted figures without making them the primary page focus.

Expand

A positive amountAfterTax means the item increased reported net income; a negative value means it reduced reported net income. Adjusted net income = reported net income minus total after-tax impact. Valuation defaults to reported figures; adjusted figures are shown to observe one-time-item impact.

PeriodItemCategoryAfter-tax impactConfidence
2025/12/31Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss538M USDMedium
2024/12/31Discontinued operationsDiscontinued operations-537M USDHigh
2023/12/31Asset impairmentImpairment-115K USDMedium
2023/12/31Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss-21K USDMedium
2023/12/31Special income/chargesOther-115K USDMedium
2022/12/31Discontinued operationsDiscontinued operations14M USDHigh
2020/12/31Business sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss-10M USDMedium
2025/12/31Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss20M USDMedium
2025/09/30Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss21M USDMedium
2025/06/30Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss472M USDMedium
2024/09/30Asset sale gain/lossAsset sale gain/loss4M USDMedium
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Which reported financials feed the models?

Financial DetailsShowing latest 5 / 14
PeriodTypeRevenueNet IncomeAdjusted net incomeFree Cash FlowDiluted EPSAdjusted EPS
2025/12/31Annual530M USD83M USD-456M USD-4B USD0.33-1.82
2024/12/31Annual118M USD-641M USD-104M USD-560M USD-2.28-0.37
2023/12/31Annual9B USD225M USD225M USD-230M USD0.60.6
2022/12/31Annual7B USD534M USD519M USD-120M USD1.121.09
2021/12/31Annual5B USD-197M USD--474M USD-0.54-

Where does this data come from?

Open to inspect field-level SEC EDGAR source, filing form, and derived notes.

SEC EDGAR

Frequently asked questions

Quick notes on price-implied expectations, model differences, and source data.

What is Nebius Group N.V.'s intrinsic value?

Nebius Group N.V.'s intrinsic value on TickerVal is reviewed through DCF outputs, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, valuation assumptions, and financial trends from public filings.

How is NBIS valued on TickerVal?

TickerVal values NBIS by comparing intrinsic value models, DCF and reverse DCF assumptions, cash-flow multiples, earnings-power references, and reported financial trends.

What does the current stock price imply?

The reverse DCF view estimates the free-cash-flow growth path implied by the current stock price under stated discount-rate and terminal-growth assumptions.

Which valuation models are used?

TickerVal uses DCF, reverse DCF, Owner Earnings, EPV, Graham Number, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, P/B, P/S, and other model references where the underlying data is available.

Is this investment advice?

No. TickerVal does not provide investment advice, ratings, price targets, or buy/sell recommendations.

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Research reference note

TickerVal is a research workspace, not a financial advisor. Pages on this site do not provide investment, legal, or tax advice and do not contain buy, sell, hold, ratings, price targets, or personalized recommendations. Financial data is derived from public company filings available through SEC EDGAR. TickerVal independently normalizes and computes valuation assumptions; figures may differ from company reports or other providers. TickerVal is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.