Calculated
DCF
Free cash flow, growth, discount rate, and terminal growth form an intrinsic value range.
3,943.66 USD6,605.57 USD9,418.16 USD
-93.71%
6,605.57 USDCurrent price is 93.7% below the base model value.
T
TechnologySemiconductorsTaiwan
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) Valuation Assumptions
Review Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) valuation assumptions across intrinsic value, DCF, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and financial trends.
NYQ · US · USD
Latest price415.42 USD
30D+19.46%
Price vs model median-93.1%Model median is the median base output from applicable absolute models, excluding Reverse DCF.
What price implies
Current price implied expectations
At 415.42 USD, the model implies roughly -10% annual FCF growth for 10 years, with required long-term operating margin near 45.22% and terminal growth around 3%. This module is a research reference.
Implied FCF CAGR-10%
10-year Reverse DCF scenario
Required long-term operating margin45.22%
Five-year median × 0.95
Implied terminal growth3%
From current model assumptions
Discount rate assumption9.5%
Estimated from current sector rules
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Forecast horizon10Y
Valuation overview
Stock valuation context
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited (TSM) valuation on TickerVal is designed to help readers understand the operating expectations embedded in the current market price. At 415.42 USD, the page brings intrinsic value analysis, DCF outputs, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and valuation assumptions into one research view within the Technology sector and the Semiconductors industry. Instead of treating one model as a final answer, TickerVal compares cash-flow, earnings-power, balance-sheet, and relative-multiple lenses so the differences between models are visible. The reverse DCF view currently shows implied growth of -10.0%, while the model median reference sits at -93.1% versus the current price. The DCF and reverse DCF sections focus on free cash flow, discount rate, terminal growth, and the long-term growth path implied by the current price. EV/EBITDA and P/FCF provide additional context for capital structure and cash-flow multiples. The financial trends section connects those valuation assumptions back to reported revenue of 3,809B USD, free cash flow of 992B USD, margins, and balance-sheet facts from public filings. Readers can use the layout to compare assumptions across models before reviewing the underlying source data. This page is intended for transparent research reference, model review, and assumption checking.
Valuation model range vs. current price
Each row shows a model output range, with a vertical line for the current price.
DCFCalculated
3,943.66 USD-9,418.16 USD
Earnings Power ValueCalculated
2,562.35 USD-2,562.35 USD
Graham NumberCalculated · Limited reference
2,774.15 USD-2,774.15 USD
Owner EarningsCalculated
3,725.32 USD-7,778.64 USD
Current price reference line
Why models disagree
Different models rely on different financial facts. The status blocks show which lenses fit this page data.
| Model | Fit | Context |
|---|---|---|
| DCF | Suitable | Useful when recurring free cash flow history exists; sensitive to growth and discount assumptions. |
| Owner Earnings | Suitable | Useful when net income, D&A, and capex support owner-earnings scenarios. |
| Reverse DCF | Suitable | Shows the FCF growth implied by current price under stated assumptions. |
| Earnings Power Value | Suitable | Useful for mature operating profit, with limited emphasis on growth. |
| Graham Number | Limited | Works best when EPS and book value are both positive. |
| Dividend Discount Model | Not meaningful | Needs explicit dividend history, which is not included in the current version. |
| Net-Net Liquidation Value | Not meaningful | Requires current asset and liability detail beyond the current data set. |
| PEG | Limited | A quick growth multiple lens when EPS history is positive. |
| EV/EBITDA | Limited | Useful for capital structure context when operating profit is available. |
| P/FCF | Limited | A compact free-cash-flow multiple view for positive FCF years. |
| P/B | Limited | More useful for asset-heavy balance sheets than asset-light companies. |
| P/S | Limited | A revenue multiple lens when profit or FCF is not stable. |
| Peer Comparison | Not meaningful | Standardized peer comparisons are not included in the current version. |
Model calculation reference
Hover each model row to inspect formulas and inputs.
Current price415.42 USD
Model median reference5,987.58 USD
Price vs model median-93.1%
Price date2026/05/06
3,725.32 USD5,987.58 USD7,778.64 USD
-93.06%
Calculated
Owner Earnings
Uses net income, D&A, and capex as an owner-earnings proxy.
3,725.32 USD5,987.58 USD7,778.64 USD
-93.06%
5,987.58 USDCurrent price is 93.1% below the base model value.Adjusted reference: 8,625.10 USD
Calculated
Reverse DCF
Solves the forward FCF growth rate implied by the current price.
Implied growth-10.0%
Current price implies roughly -10.0% annualized FCF growth.
-10.0%Current price implies roughly -10.0% annualized FCF growth.
Calculated
Earnings Power Value
Estimates earnings power value without assuming growth.
2,562.35 USD2,562.35 USD2,562.35 USD
-83.79%
2,562.35 USDCurrent price is 83.8% below the base model value.
Updated: 2026/05/06
Key financial trend
Annual financial metrics with switchable views. · Unit: USD
FY2025 · Dec 2025 report12 records
Revenue3,809B USD
Net income1,698B USD
Free cash flow992B USD
CapEx-1,283B USD
Operating cash flow2,275B USD
Valuation basis and non-recurring items
Collapsed by default. Expand to inspect structured one-time items and adjusted figures without making them the primary page focus.
ExpandCollapse
Valuation basis and non-recurring items
Collapsed by default. Expand to inspect structured one-time items and adjusted figures without making them the primary page focus.
A positive amountAfterTax means the item increased reported net income; a negative value means it reduced reported net income. Adjusted net income = reported net income minus total after-tax impact. Valuation defaults to reported figures; adjusted figures are shown to observe one-time-item impact.
| Period | Item | Category | After-tax impact | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/12/31 | Asset sale gain/loss | Asset sale gain/loss | 4B TWD | Medium |
| 2025/12/31 | Business sale gain/loss | Asset sale gain/loss | -133M TWD | Medium |
| 2025/12/31 | Special income/charges | Other | -133M TWD | Medium |
| 2024/12/31 | Asset sale gain/loss | Asset sale gain/loss | 879M TWD | Medium |
| 2024/12/31 | Business sale gain/loss | Asset sale gain/loss | 6M TWD | Medium |
| 2024/12/31 | Special income/charges | Other | 6M TWD | Medium |
| 2023/12/31 | Asset sale gain/loss | Asset sale gain/loss | 3B TWD | Medium |
| 2023/12/31 | Business sale gain/loss | Asset sale gain/loss | 12M TWD | Medium |
| 2023/12/31 | Special income/charges | Other | 12M TWD | Medium |
| 2023/12/31 | Write-off | Impairment | -8M TWD | Medium |
| 2022/12/31 | Asset sale gain/loss | Asset sale gain/loss | 3B TWD | Medium |
| 2022/12/31 | Write-off | Impairment | -711K TWD | Medium |
| 2021/12/31 | Write-off | Impairment | -1M TWD | Medium |
| 2025/12/31 | Asset sale gain/loss | Asset sale gain/loss | -702M TWD | Medium |
| 2025/12/31 | Business sale gain/loss | Asset sale gain/loss | -11K TWD | Medium |
| 2025/12/31 | Special income/charges | Other | -11K TWD | Medium |
| 2025/09/30 | Asset sale gain/loss | Asset sale gain/loss | -249M TWD | Medium |
| 2025/06/30 | Asset sale gain/loss | Asset sale gain/loss | 5B TWD | Medium |
| 2025/03/31 | Asset sale gain/loss | Asset sale gain/loss | 314M TWD | Medium |
| 2025/03/31 | Business sale gain/loss | Asset sale gain/loss | -133M TWD | Medium |
| 2025/03/31 | Special income/charges | Other | -133M TWD | Medium |
| 2024/12/31 | Asset sale gain/loss | Asset sale gain/loss | -359M TWD | Medium |
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Quarterly and annual financial table
Financial DetailsShowing latest 5 / 12
| Period | Type | Revenue | Net Income | Adjusted net income | Free Cash Flow | Diluted EPS | Adjusted EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025/12/31 | Annual | 3,809B TWD | 1,698B TWD | 1,693B TWD | 992B TWD | 331 | 330 |
| 2024/12/31 | Annual | 2,894B TWD | 1,158B TWD | 1,157B TWD | 861B TWD | 226 | 226 |
| 2023/12/31 | Annual | 2,162B TWD | 852B TWD | 849B TWD | 287B TWD | 162 | 161 |
| 2022/12/31 | Annual | 2,264B TWD | 993B TWD | 990B TWD | 521B TWD | 196 | 195 |
| 2021/12/31 | Annual | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Data source and quality
Open to inspect field-level SEC EDGAR source, filing form, and derived notes.
SEC EDGAR
Data source and quality
Open to inspect field-level SEC EDGAR source, filing form, and derived notes.
FAQ
Quick notes on price-implied expectations, model differences, and source data.
What is Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited's intrinsic value?
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited's intrinsic value on TickerVal is reviewed through DCF outputs, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, valuation assumptions, and financial trends from public filings.
How is TSM valued on TickerVal?
TickerVal values TSM by comparing intrinsic value models, DCF and reverse DCF assumptions, cash-flow multiples, earnings-power references, and reported financial trends.
What does the current stock price imply?
The reverse DCF view estimates the free-cash-flow growth path implied by the current stock price under stated discount-rate and terminal-growth assumptions.
Which valuation models are used?
TickerVal uses DCF, reverse DCF, Owner Earnings, EPV, Graham Number, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, P/B, P/S, and other model references where the underlying data is available.
Is this investment advice?
No. TickerVal does not provide investment advice, ratings, price targets, or buy/sell recommendations.
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