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IndustrialsElectrical Equipment & PartsUnited States

Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL) Valuation Assumptions

Review Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL) valuation assumptions across intrinsic value, DCF, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and financial trends.

NMS · US · USD

Latest price319.76 USD
30D+64.1%
Price vs model median+4.7%Model median is the median base output from applicable absolute models, excluding Reverse DCF.

What price implies

Current price implied expectations

At 319.76 USD, the model implies roughly 7.98% annual FCF growth for 10 years, with required long-term operating margin near 12.63% and terminal growth around 3%. This module is a research reference.

Implied FCF CAGR7.98%

10-year Reverse DCF scenario

Required long-term operating margin12.63%

Five-year median × 0.95

Implied terminal growth3%

From current model assumptions

Discount rate assumption9%

Estimated from current sector rules

Adjust assumptions+

Adjust assumptions

Move assumptions to see how the current price implied conditions change.

Forecast horizon10Y

Valuation overview

Stock valuation context

Powell Industries, Inc. (POWL) valuation on TickerVal is designed to help readers understand the operating expectations embedded in the current market price. At 319.76 USD, the page brings intrinsic value analysis, DCF outputs, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, and valuation assumptions into one research view within the Industrials sector and the Electrical Equipment & Parts industry. Instead of treating one model as a final answer, TickerVal compares cash-flow, earnings-power, balance-sheet, and relative-multiple lenses so the differences between models are visible. The reverse DCF view currently shows implied growth of 8.0%, while the model median reference sits at +4.7% versus the current price. The DCF and reverse DCF sections focus on free cash flow, discount rate, terminal growth, and the long-term growth path implied by the current price. EV/EBITDA and P/FCF provide additional context for capital structure and cash-flow multiples. The financial trends section connects those valuation assumptions back to reported revenue of 1B USD, free cash flow of 155M USD, margins, and balance-sheet facts from public filings. Readers can use the layout to compare assumptions across models before reviewing the underlying source data. This page is intended for transparent research reference, model review, and assumption checking.

Valuation model range vs. current price

Each row shows a model output range, with a vertical line for the current price.

Model output range
DCFCalculated
236.80 USD-372.07 USD
Earnings Power ValueCalculated
147.33 USD-147.33 USD
Graham NumberCalculated · Limited reference
132.70 USD-132.70 USD
Owner EarningsCalculated
292.55 USD-616.70 USD
Current price reference line

Why models disagree

Different models rely on different financial facts. The status blocks show which lenses fit this page data.

ModelFitContext
DCFSuitableUseful when recurring free cash flow history exists; sensitive to growth and discount assumptions.
Owner EarningsSuitableUseful when net income, D&A, and capex support owner-earnings scenarios.
Reverse DCFSuitableShows the FCF growth implied by current price under stated assumptions.
Earnings Power ValueSuitableUseful for mature operating profit, with limited emphasis on growth.
Graham NumberLimitedWorks best when EPS and book value are both positive.
Dividend Discount ModelNot meaningfulNeeds explicit dividend history, which is not included in the current version.
Net-Net Liquidation ValueNot meaningfulRequires current asset and liability detail beyond the current data set.
PEGLimitedA quick growth multiple lens when EPS history is positive.
EV/EBITDALimitedUseful for capital structure context when operating profit is available.
P/FCFLimitedA compact free-cash-flow multiple view for positive FCF years.
P/BLimitedMore useful for asset-heavy balance sheets than asset-light companies.
P/SLimitedA revenue multiple lens when profit or FCF is not stable.
Peer ComparisonNot meaningfulStandardized peer comparisons are not included in the current version.

Model calculation reference

Hover each model row to inspect formulas and inputs.

Current price319.76 USD
Model median reference305.32 USD
Price vs model median+4.7%
Price date2026/05/06
236.80 USD305.32 USD372.07 USD

+4.73%

Calculated

DCF

Free cash flow, growth, discount rate, and terminal growth form an intrinsic value range.

236.80 USD305.32 USD372.07 USD

+4.73%

305.32 USDCurrent price is close to the base model value.
Calculated

Owner Earnings

Uses net income, D&A, and capex as an owner-earnings proxy.

292.55 USD473.29 USD616.70 USD

-32.44%

473.29 USDCurrent price is 32.4% below the base model value.
Calculated

Reverse DCF

Solves the forward FCF growth rate implied by the current price.

Implied growth8.0%

Current price implies roughly 8.0% annualized FCF growth.

8.0%Current price implies roughly 8.0% annualized FCF growth.
Calculated

Earnings Power Value

Estimates earnings power value without assuming growth.

147.33 USD147.33 USD147.33 USD

+117%

147.33 USDCurrent price is 117% above the base model value.

Updated: 2026/05/06

Key financial trend

Annual financial metrics with switchable views. · Unit: USD

FY2025 · Sep 2025 report13 records
Revenue1B USD
Net income181M USD
Free cash flow155M USD
CapEx13M USD
Operating cash flow168M USD

Valuation basis and non-recurring items

Collapsed by default. Expand to inspect structured one-time items and adjusted figures without making them the primary page focus.

Expand

A positive amountAfterTax means the item increased reported net income; a negative value means it reduced reported net income. Adjusted net income = reported net income minus total after-tax impact. Valuation defaults to reported figures; adjusted figures are shown to observe one-time-item impact.

No structured non-recurring items identified. Valuation currently defaults to reported figures and does not claim one-time gains have been removed.
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Quarterly and annual financial table

Financial DetailsShowing latest 5 / 13
PeriodTypeRevenueNet IncomeAdjusted net incomeFree Cash FlowDiluted EPSAdjusted EPS
2025/09/30Annual1B USD181M USD-155M USD14.86-
2024/09/30Annual1B USD150M USD-97M USD12.29-
2023/09/30Annual699M USD55M USD-175M USD4.5-
2022/09/30Annual533M USD14M USD-111K USD-6M USD1.15-0.01
2021/09/30Annual------

Data source and quality

Open to inspect field-level SEC EDGAR source, filing form, and derived notes.

SEC EDGAR

FAQ

Quick notes on price-implied expectations, model differences, and source data.

What is Powell Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value?

Powell Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value on TickerVal is reviewed through DCF outputs, reverse DCF implied growth, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, valuation assumptions, and financial trends from public filings.

How is POWL valued on TickerVal?

TickerVal values POWL by comparing intrinsic value models, DCF and reverse DCF assumptions, cash-flow multiples, earnings-power references, and reported financial trends.

What does the current stock price imply?

The reverse DCF view estimates the free-cash-flow growth path implied by the current stock price under stated discount-rate and terminal-growth assumptions.

Which valuation models are used?

TickerVal uses DCF, reverse DCF, Owner Earnings, EPV, Graham Number, EV/EBITDA, P/FCF, P/B, P/S, and other model references where the underlying data is available.

Is this investment advice?

No. TickerVal does not provide investment advice, ratings, price targets, or buy/sell recommendations.

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Research reference note

TickerVal is a research workspace, not a financial advisor. Pages on this site do not provide investment, legal, or tax advice and do not contain buy, sell, hold, ratings, price targets, or personalized recommendations. Financial data is derived from public company filings available through SEC EDGAR. TickerVal independently normalizes and computes valuation assumptions; figures may differ from company reports or other providers. TickerVal is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or approved by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.